Hussam Elamin

How Should I Invest During a Recession?

A recession is a time when the GDP is falling and is typically described as a decline that lasts for two or more consecutive quarters.

Recessions are caused by more than just weak economic growth. Numerous other traits, such as widespread job losses, a shortage of open positions, and increased government relief, are frequently present alongside them.

In light of all of this, you might wonder if investing makes sense if we’re in or are headed for a recession. Is it better to keep all of your money in cash rather than investing it?

Are we in a recession in 2023?

According to current economic indicators, a recession has yet to occur. Financial and economist professionals are discussing the possibility of an impending recession, which may not be as severe or prolonged as first anticipated. Most analysts still anticipate a recession in 2023. All that is left to be asked is when, how long, and how bad it will be.

In today’s world, the proverb “this time it’s different” holds true. Despite a two-quarter slowdown in GDP, the unemployment rate is still low. This is true despite the fact that many industries have implemented hiring freezes or are laying off employees. This may be the case because many people who have been laid off are quickly finding new jobs.

Is it safe to invest during a recession?

Stock values frequently decrease during a recession. Theoretically, that’s disappointing news for an existing portfolio, but leaving investment opportunities alone means avoiding selling them at a loss during a recession.

Additionally, lower stock prices provide a great opportunity to invest for less money (relatively speaking). Consequently, making investments during a recession can be a smart move, but only in the following situations:

  • You have sufficiently of emergency savings. Always aim to have three to six months’ worth of living expenses in the bank, with the latter end of that range being preferable. You’re welcome to invest any extra money you have if you’re nearby and available. If not, make sure to first create a reliable emergency fund.

  • You have no intention of touching your portfolio for at 7 years minimum. Recession investing is not for the weak of heart. Your portfolio value may rise a few days after you believe you’ve bought at a bargain. Investing for the long term is the best way to avoid losses during a recession and come out ahead. Spend at least seven years letting your money grow uninterrupted.

  • You won’t be checking your portfolio constantly. You might be more likely to check your brokerage account daily to see how your portfolio is doing when the economy is struggling and the stock market is volatile. However, you can’t invest during a recession if you want to make money. You are more likely to panic the more you monitor your investments. Additionally, when you’re in a panic, you run the risk of making snap judgements that force you to lock in losses, like selling stocks that aren’t performing well.

Best investments during recession

It might not be what you expect when looking for the best investments during a recession. Many investors make the error of turning more cautious when the best long-term plan of action is to switch more aggressive by increasing exposure to assets that could possibly provide higher returns. The straightforward justification is that investors are paying a low price for the potential future growth of those companies. 

Everyone knows the simple investment strategy of “buy low and sell high,” but fewer people actually use it. This is strange because fear so frequently gets in the way of our decisions during a market downturn. Instead, a recession is an opportunity to get ready for the market recovery that will follow. of course, a recession is more than just a market downturn; it’s also a slowing economy that may result in your unemployment and other financial hardships.

Investment Strategies during Recession

How do you strike a balance between these outcomes? To combat the recession, you must use the best investment strategy:

  • Blue Chip Stocks
    Blue chip stock purchases are best made during a recession. Companies that are typically overpriced can be found at a discount.
  • TIP:
    You must maintain a watch list of stocks that you want to add to your portfolio. When the opportunity arises, purchase them for the long term!

  • Equity Mutual Funds
    It can be difficult for newcomers to choose quality companies. After all, it is difficult to predict which company will succeed in the future without conducting extensive research. Equity mutual funds provide a simple answer to this issue. The entire selection and investment process is handled by a dedicated fund manager. Simply putting money into the fund is all that is required. The fund manager will then make an overall investment.

  • Sectorial Funds
    Sectorial stocks are typically quite expensive. Sectorial funds are, however, quite affordable during a recession because the entire economy is experiencing a downturn. Take advantage of this chance to diversify your holdings by including the financial, automotive, and technology sectors.
  • Real Estate
    Real estate purchases are also highly recommended during a recession. You can purchase high-quality properties for dirt cheap due to the overall decline in demand. Therefore, save money and wait for the right time if you have any future plans to purchase a home. Additionally, you’ll have access to home loans with extremely low interest rates to promote easy credit!

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